Probability theory

Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability.

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Meet our Speakers

We've gathered some of the top experts in the field to discuss this topic. With years of experience between them, they're well-equipped to offer invaluable insights and perspectives.

Douglas Hubbard

Douglas Hubbard

Founder/President, Hubbard Decision Research

David R. Koenig

David R. Koenig

President and CEO, The DCRO Institute

Sam Savage

Sam Savage

Executive Director, ProbabilityManagement.org

Mark Armour

Mark Armour

Director Global Business Continuity, Brink's Inc.

Glen B Alleman

Glen B Alleman

Program Performance Management, Niwot Ridge LLC

Robert Brown III

Robert Brown III

Senior Strategy Analyst, Novelis

Christian B. Smart

Christian B. Smart

Chief Data Scientist, Galorath

Andre Daus

Andre Daus

Red Team Leader, Red Team Thinking

Prof. Hernan Huwyler

Prof. Hernan Huwyler

IT Risk Sr. Lead, IE Law School

Graeme Keith

Graeme Keith

Owner & CEO, Stochastic ApS

Mariia Kozlova

Mariia Kozlova

Post-doctoral researcher, LUT University

Henk Krijnen

Henk Krijnen

Founding partner, Claridec

Benoit Ladouceur

Benoit Ladouceur

Director, Risk Management, Top Aces

Hans Læssøe

Hans Læssøe

Founder, AKTUS

David Lindstedt PhD

David Lindstedt PhD

Founder, Adaptive BC Solutions

Filippo Marino

Filippo Marino

Founder, CEO, Safe-esteem, Inc

Tony Martin-Vegue

Tony Martin-Vegue

Senior Security Risk Engineer, Netflix

GREGORY M. CARROLL

GREGORY M. CARROLL

Author, AI Insights

Brian Putt

Brian Putt

Decision Quality Consultant, Putt DQ Consulting

Yuri Raydugin

Yuri Raydugin

Author, Modern Risk Quantification in Complex Projects

Yehuda Sapir

Yehuda Sapir

CEO and Owner, Keshet Solutions

Joe Scott

Joe Scott

Principal Wildfire Analyst, Pyrologix

Alex Sidorenko

Alex Sidorenko

Chief Risk Officer, EuroChem

David Vose

David Vose

Vice President of Risk Management, Archer Integrated Risk Management

William W Davis

William W Davis

Senior Project Manager, NCCI Holdings, Inc.

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Workshops

Future trends in Risk Management 2.0 (50 minutes)

Alex Sidorenko

Risk as a Scarce Resource - Boards and the Attraction of Risk Capital (39 minutes)

David R. Koenig

Practical steps to enrich risk analysis with scenario planning (34 minutes)

Henk Krijnen

Measuring Readiness and Building Capability in Business Continuity (37 minutes)

David Lindstedt

Measuring Outcomes and Demonstrating Value in Resilience (36 minutes)

Mark Armour

DAY 1 Summary and key takeaways

Alex Sidorenko

Forest fires and floods are not the same

Joe Scott

Sam Savage

Scenario planning for climate and other global threats

Hans Læssøe

Green Accountability and Incentives: Reflecting the Social and Economic Cost of CO2 in New Capital Projects

Robert Brown

Identifying and understanding optionality with value of information

Alex Sidorenko

Brian Putt

Using stochastic decision trees to quantify environmental risks

Alex Sidorenko

Understanding uncertainty and discovering levers

Mariia Kozlova

Which risks should a business focus on?

David Vose

DAY 2 Summary and key takeaways

Alex Sidorenko

The next phase of FrankenSME: The latest developments in combining expert judgements

Douglas Hubbard

How expert are your experts?

Graeme Keith

Red is the new Green - How thinking different helps risk management to adapt to tomorrow's challenges.

Andre Daus

How to spot and avoid three major risk measurement fallacies

Filippo Marino

DAY 3 Summary and key takeaways

Alex Sidorenko

Principles of Managing in the Presence of Uncertainties That Create Cost, Schedule, and Technical Risk

Glen B Alleman

Using Integrated Cost and Schedule Risk Analysis to Enhance Project Success - a NASA Case Study

Christian B. Smart

Modeling Environmental Constraints in Capital Projects

Yuri Raydugin

Decision Making in Civil Engineering Projects. How to make it more efficient and effective.

Yehuda Sapir

Risk Intelligence - using AI to transform risk management

GREGORY M. CARROLL

Practices of Managing in the Presence of Uncertainties That Create Cost, Schedule and Technical Risk

Glen B Alleman